Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, November 23, 2014 at 6:19PM
Wet Sunday Evening
Periods of rain (maybe a thundershower) will continue this evening, then taper off to showers by Midnight. A few showers linger on Monday. Today was cool, but rising temperatures overnight will lead to a noticeably milder Monday. Monday will be breezy, but otherwise a decent day for any outdoor activities / chores. A cold front moves through Monday evening with colder air returning. Tuesday is dry and cool, then clouds increase Tuesday night with some light rain or snow possible. Check out the discussion section below for all the details on the Thanksgiving forecast.
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Hi: 41 Lo: 40
Mostly cloudy tonight; Rain tapering off to showers late (maybe a rumble of thunder); Rising temperatures; SW wind 5-15 mph
Hi: 69 Lo: 40
Mostly to partly cloudy & warm; Isolated showers; SW wind 10-15 mph (breezy in the afternoon), becoming NW Mon. night
Hi: 55 Lo: 33
Partly cloudy; Cooler; Clouds increase Tue. night with light rain possible; Light SW wind
Hi: 41 Lo: 29
Mostly cloudy; Daytime rain showers possible, then clearing Wed. night
Hi: 45 Lo: 26
Mostly sunny & cool for Thanksgiving
Friday - Partly cloudy & cool; High in the mid 40s; Low in the upper 20s
Saturday - Partly sunny; High in the upper 50s; Low in the upper 30s
An area of low pressure near Memphis this evening will lift north into the Great Lakes through tomorrow. As this happens, a warm front stretching across Alabama and Georgia will also lift north, reaching North Carolina tonight. Ahead of that front, periods of rain (maybe an isolated thundershower) will continue across western NC through the evening hours. Once the warm front passes, the steadier rain will move off to the north. However, showers will remain a threat through the rest of the night. After it is all said and done, a decent soaking can be expected.
That warm front mentioned above will be well to the north on Monday which means we get a brief shot of milder air on Monday with highs well into the 60’s to near 70. A few showers will be around on Monday until the cold front reaches the area, but plenty of dry hours are expected. Looks like a good day to do any remaining outdoor, fall chores (hanging Christmas lights, leftover yardwork, etc). Of note, though, it will be a breezy day.
A cold front reaches the NC mountains Monday evening and then progresses east through the night. We are not expecting any arctic air behind this front, but it will be noticeably cooler come Tuesday. The forecast turns more interesting Tuesday night into Wednesday. Over the last couple of days we have been talking about the potential of a coastal low developing along the East Coast. We continue to expect that to happen, but the question is how much, if any, moisture can make it this far west. For now, we are thinking light precipitation will break out later Tuesday night and continue into the day Wednesday followed by clearing Wednesday night.
Colder air will attempt to filter in as the moisture arrives which makes the precipitation type tricky. If enough cold air can work in, then we could be looking at some snow for parts of the Foothills. But, it should be stressed that there is still a decent amount of uncertainty with this system. Temperatures look borderline for snow, so there is the potential of a mostly rain event. Something to keep an eye on with the busy Thanksgiving travel period coming.
Beyond Wednesday, we are looking at dry and cool conditions for Thanksgiving and beyond with the next chance of rain holding off until later next weekend.
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